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09/21/2011 - Tucson, AZ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The 10th-ranked Oregon Ducks hit the road this weekend for their Pac-12 Conference opener against the Arizona Wildcats in Tucson.
Oregon, which reached the BCS National Championship Game a year ago, began the 2011 season with a 40-27 loss to a very good LSU team on a neutral field. Since that disappointing setback, the Ducks have reeled off back-to-back victories, including last week's 56-7 romp over FCS foe Missouri State. They have now scored 125 points the last two games, but it remains to be seen if that level of offensive production will carry into league action.
"You really clean it up as you get into Pac-12 play, with the two new teams in it, the championship game, and it's going to be an exciting season," said Oregon coach Chip Kelly, who understands the importance of playing flawless football in this league opener. "I really don't know how it's going to play itself out. By and large the Pac-12 season opens up next week for everybody, and we got to be ready to go."
The schedule has been brutal for Arizona early on this season, as the team is set to play its third consecutive top-10 opponent. After crushing Northern Arizona to open the campaign, the Wildcats have been beaten soundly by Oklahoma State and Stanford in consecutive weeks. After the loss to Stanford by a 37-10 final last weekend, 'Cats head coach Mike Stoops remained resolute.
"With our team, we have to do things right, and we are doing a lot of good things," said Stoops. "We just got exposed because we are young, but when you play against these types of team, you do get better. That is the bright side we have to focus on."
Oregon owns a 22-14 series lead over Arizona, which includes victories in each of the last three meetings.
The Ducks had their way offensively against Missouri State last week as expected, posting 681 total yards en route to eight touchdowns. The ground attack was lethal, compiling 416 yards on 43 attempts. LaMichael James is one of the nation's top tailbacks, and he raced for 204 yards and three scores. Quarterback Darron Thomas was effective through the air, completing 11-of-15 passes for 206 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions.
"Obviously, we feel like we can run the ball, but with Darron back there it allows us to be a balanced football team and make the defense cover the entire field," says Kelly of the offense. "As we develop more depth out of a receiver, and have some people there that people have to take notice too, then I think it's just going to help us as a team."
Through three outings, the Ducks are generating 50.7 ppg and 539.7 total ypg, and 12 of the 19 offensive scores have come through the air. Thomas has thrown 10 touchdowns against only one interception and has completed 62.5 percent of his throws. James has rushed for 325 yards and five scores on just 42 carries, and Lavasier Tuinei paces the receivers with three touchdown receptions.
The Ducks held Missouri State to 289 total yards and one touchdown despite failing to generate a single turnover. Surprisingly, the Oregon defense was on the field for nearly 40 minutes despite limiting Missouri State to 6-of-17 efficiency on third-down conversion attempts. Opponents are scoring 22.3 ppg against Oregon thus far.
Arizona knew it was facing a tough Stanford defense last week and failed miserably in an effort to establish the run, finishing with a mere 51 rushing yards on 23 attempts, an average of just 2.2 yards per tote. That lack of success put added pressure on quarterback Nick Foles and the passing attack. Foles did complete 24-of-33 passes for 239 yards with one touchdown and no interceptions, but that effort simply wasn't enough.
"They did exactly what I thought they would do," said Foles. "They were very physical on both sides of the ball. We didn't execute very well on third down and that killed us."
Stanford was able to hold the ball for nearly 36 minutes against Arizona and scored five offensive touchdowns, including three on the ground. The Cardinal were able to rush for 242 yards at a clip of 6.2 yards per carry and averaged a gaudy 16.2 yards per pass completion.
Overall this season, Arizona is generating 21.7 ppg and 419.7 total ypg while yielding 28.0 ppg and 473.3 total ypg. The Wildcats have committed just one turnover so far, but they have also notched a mere two takeaways while posting only three sacks. Foles is one of the best quarterbacks in the nation and has completed 75.4 percent of his passes for 1,049 yards and seven touchdowns against zero interceptions. Juron Criner is a star at receiver as well, but the Wildcats are hampered by what has to be considered one of the worst ground attacks in the FBS.
<< Commodores and Gamecocks square off in battle of unbeatens
Columbia, SC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Having survived yet another scare, the 12th-
ranked South Carolina Gamecocks will take on a surprising group of Vanderbilt
Commodores in Columbia this weekend.
Vanderbilt is undoubtedly feeling good after crus
<< Padres turn to Bass in finale with Rockies
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Rookie right-hander Anthony Bass makes the second start of
his career, and first since June, when the San Diego Padres visit Coors Field
to wrap up a three-game series today against the Colorado Rockies.
A 23-year-old, Bas
<< U.S. to face Switzerland in 2012 Davis Cup opener
Bangkok, Thailand (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The all-time titles leader United States
will battle host Switzerland in an opening-round tie next year, as the 2012
Davis Cup World Group draw was announced on Wednesday.
The 32-time champion America
<< Marlins' Vazquez tries to stall Braves' playoff plans
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - After getting boosted by a pair of youngsters last night,
the Atlanta Braves are counting on veteran Derek Lowe to get back on track
Wednesday and inch the club closer to a playoff spot.
Atlanta's offense will also have it
Alabama hosts Arkansas in clash of ranked SEC foes >>
Tuscaloosa, AL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - In what promises to be one the toughest
battles of the college football weekend, the third-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide
welcome the 14th-ranked Arkansas Razorbacks to Tuscaloosa for an SEC clash.
Bobby Petrin
Kentucky hosts No. 15 Florida in SEC fray >>
Lexington, KY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The 15th-ranked Florida Gators have dominated
the Kentucky Wildcats for the past three decades, and they will attempt to
continue that trend on Saturday night when the SEC foes meet in Lexington.
Will Muscham
No. 2 LSU visits No. 16 West Virginia >>
Morgantown, WV (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The second-ranked LSU Tigers of the SEC and
the 16th-ranked West Virginia Mountaineers of the Big East Conference will
collide in what should be a physical battle from Morgantown.
LSU owns the nation's longe
No. 9 Nebraska hits road to battle Wyoming >>
Laramie, WY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Hitting the road for the first time this
season, the ninth-ranked Nebraska Cornhuskers make their way to Laramie this
weekend to challenge the Wyoming Cowboys in non-conference action at War
Memorial Stadium.
The San Francisco 49ers (5-11 SU, 5-10-1 ATS in 2007; 1-1 SU & ATS in pre-season) found some offensive life last week, and they will try to build some momentum on Thursday night as they travel to the Windy City to take on the Chicago Bears (7-9 SU & ATS in 2007; 0-2 SU, 0-1-1 ATS in pre-season) in an NFL matchup that is set to get underway at 8 PM ET at Soldier Field (natural turf) in Chicago.
Thursday, August 21
NFL betting odds: CHICAGO -3 (-120), Total 37
NOTABLE STAT: San Francisco was last in points, last in total offense in 2007
KEY NFL BETTING TREND: SF has lost its last seven SU on pre-season road
In the BetUS NFL pre-season football betting odds, the Bears are listed as a three-point favorite (laying -120), with the total posted at 37 points.
Here are some NFL football betting trends as they relate to this matchup (reflecting numbers going into the 2008 season):
* SF has lost 11 of its last 14 games SU
* SF has covered three of its last 11 games
* SF has lost six of its last seven road games SU
* SF has covered one of its last seven road games
* CHI has covered five of its last eight games
* CHI has played five of its last seven games OVER the total
* CHI has covered four of its last 13 home games
* SF has lost its last seven pre-season road games SU
* CHI has covered two of its last seven home pre-season games
Well, I guess we should congratulate the Bears on making their quarterback choice for the season's opening game, as they have designated Kyle Orton the starter against Indianapolis. The Bears obviously have lost patience with Rex Grossman, and what they do with him at this point is anybody's guess. But suffice it to say that there isn't a quarterback competition anymore, at least in training camp.
Meanwhile, the quarterback competition may also be settled in San Francisco, where the Niners bounced back from a lackluster 18-6 loss to the Raiders, in which they turned the ball over four times, to execute a 34-6 rout of the Packers last Saturday. However, coach Mike Nolan has stopped short of saying that, insisting that the job is still open. But J.T. O'Sullivan, the longshot of the trio of Niner signal-callers who opened camp, will start his third straight pre-season game here. Against Green Bay, O'Sullivan was only 8-for-17, and was intercepted, but he also threw for 9.1 yards an attempt, which included a 59-yard TD pass to Josh Morgan. The others struggled.
Some offensive cohesion is badly needed, in light of the Niners' dismal 2007 campaign, in which they were dead last in the NFL in scoring, with just 13.7 points a game. And O'Sullivan is the guy who is most familiar with offensive coordinator Mike Martz's exacting system, because he learned it last year in Detroit. O'Sullivan will go at least the entire first half and may even last longer. He'll be relieved by Alex Smith, with Shawn Hill doing the mop-up work. Three receivers who were out last week - Bryant Johnson, Ashley Lelie and Arnaz Battle - will miss this game too.
That may hurt a little here, especially since the Bears will be using a lot of their defensive starters. And it's the defense that has been keeping the Bears in games thus far. In fact, the defense and special teams were responsible for the first 19 points Chicago scored against Seattle last time out, as the offense really struggled with Grossman at the controls. But maybe the first-team offense has a chance to settle a little bit as it works more with Orton at the helm.
Certainly we have concerns about the Bears' offensive line, but we like the scenario for them here, especially if O'Sullivan doesn't make some bis plays. The Niners may have nowhere else to turn right now, and they have lost seven straight road games in the pre-season. Let's take Chicago, the three-point favorite in the NFL football betting odds.
CHICAGO -3 (-120) **
(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)
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MySportsbook.com : Fortune Favors Favorites in March Madness betting?
Just like Day 1 of the “Sweet 16”, Friday’s games are chock full of some of the nation’s elite. Unlike Thursday’s games, there is a little bit more of a “Cinderella” feel as #7 seed UNLV and #6 seed Vanderbilt will attempt to move on to the Elite Eight. With powerhouses Florida, UNC and Georgetown looking to continue their momentum against lesser known teams, it isn’t surprising that once again the “betting public” is backing most of the favorites. As the early coin rolls in, 56% of Sportsbook.com bettors prefer Georgetown (-7.5) as they take on Vanderbilt; 84% of the early money is backing Oregon (-3) as they square off against UNLV; and a slight majority (52%) of the early cash is on Florida (-10.5) against Butler as the Gators continue their quest for another National Title. The only favorite the public don’t seem confident in is UNC, as 59% of the cash is backing the underdog Trojans (+8).
Midwest
#1 Florida vs. #5 Butler
The defending National Champs have been on a mission since last April. Joakim Noah and Al Horford turned down millions of dollars for one reason, to REPEAT. After a late season hiccup which saw them lose three out of four, the Gators have won six straight by an average of 20.3 points. More importantly, they covered in five of those six games. Behind their stymie defense that yields only 56.9 PPG, Butler has been a very pleasant surprise this season. As their 20-11 ATS record will indicate, “surprise teams” like Butler are often good bets for gamblers. Playing in an average conference, Butler wasn’t and underdog too often but when they were, they covered (6-0 ATS). Butler’s defense will have its hands full against a Gators offense which averages 80.1 PPG on an amazing 52.9% shooting from the field. With Florida’s tournament experience over the last few years, it isn’t surprising that they are 5-1 ATS this season, 20-4 ATS over the last three seasons and 38-20 since 1997 in tournament action.
#3 Oregon vs. #7 UNLV
As a #7 seed, UNLV is the closest thing to a “Cinderella” we have this year. If you bet on UNLV this season with any regularity, you most likely cashed in. Behind their guard oriented attack, the Rebels are an impressive 20-11 ATS this season. As an underdog they covered in 8 out of their ten games which isn’t surprising since they are 52-30 ATS as a ‘dog since 1997. The Rebels have been a consistent cover during the month of March as well. This March they are 6-0 ATS, 11-3 ATS over the last three seasons and 24-11 since 1997. Their impressive ATS trends don’t end there; versus teams with a winning record they are 15-6 ATS this season and 41-21 over the last three seasons. Although Oregon hasn’t been as generous to gamblers as UNLV this season, they have been covering consistently as of late. There is no question that they are playing their best ball of the season having won their last 8 straight up (SU) by an average of 14.5 points. Not surprising they covered in 7 of those games. It is interesting to note how similar these teams are in regards to scoring and scoring defense. UNLV averages 75 PPG while giving up 66.5 PPG and Oregon scores 75.8 PPG while yielding 65.5 PPG.
East
#6 Vanderbilt vs. #2 Georgetown
“Hoya Paranoia” is officially back! After a decent start, Georgetown has rolled through the second half of the season. Over their last 18 games, they are 17-1 SU. They have definitely improved ATS as the season has progressed as well. After opening the season 1-4-1 ATS, the Hoyas have covered 78.3% of their games. With their great interior play of Jeff Green and Roy Hibbert, the Hoyas as a team shoot 50.5% from the field. Like the Georgetown teams from years ago, they also excel on defense. Hoya opponents averaged only 56.8 PPG on 38.2% shooting from the field and an extremely low 30.4% from beyond the arc. The last stat could be of some concern to Vanderbilt considering they shoot 37.7% from long-range. Ranking second to last in the SEC in rebounding margin, Vanderbilt will have its work cut out for them against the Hoya trees. As far as covering is concerned, Vanderbilt has been almost a “sure thing” (7-1 ATS) versus good defensive teams that allow less than 64 PPG.
#1 UNC vs. # 5 USC
The Tar Heels are as talented and as deep as any team in the country. Going ten deep and chock full of HS All-Americans, UNC averages 86.1 PPG and scored 100+ seven times. Led by All-American forward, Tyler Hansbrough (18.6 PPG 7.9 RPG) UNC has a very balanced attack which can kill you on the inside as well as on the perimeter. UNC only real concern is their youth as eight of their rotation players are either sophomores or freshmen. UNC was a reliable cover this season going 20-13 ATS. An intriguing covering trend for the Tar Heels in recent years has been how they fared after non-conference games. This season they are 11-3 ATS after non-conference games and over the last three seasons they are 31-13 ATS. USC is also a pretty deep team which is loaded with swingman types. An match-up to keep an eye on will be freshman forward Taj Gibson (12.1 PPG, 8.6 RPG) as he squares off against the AA Hansbrough. USC has been a covering machine this season achieving a 21-10 record ATS. They have thrived in the underdog role, having covered 10 out of 12. When playing a team with a winning record, the Trojans are an incredible 20-6 ATS. Keep in mind, USC dedicated their season to former star to Ryan Francis who passed away before the season so as they get closer to the ultimate goal, emotion could definitely be on their side.
With Friday -105 juice on Basketball betting, MySportsbook.com is the place to bet on all of the “March Madness” action. Don’t forget to monitor who the public is backing at this sportsbook “Betting Trends”. By doing so, you have the best chance of predicting a possible line change, thus getting the best value for your wager.
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